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- THE WEEK, Page 12NATIONProfessor Bill's Class: Political Economy 101
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- Clinton's summit played well, but his promises are looking harder
- to keep
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- It might not have lured many viewers from All My Children.
- But when it came to furtive subplots, greed, jealousy and
- spine-chilling intimations of impending disaster, Bill Clinton's
- televised 19-hour economic talkathon was right up there with
- daytime's most overwrought soap fare.
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- On its face, the two-day Conference on the Economy, held
- in Little Rock, served as a remarkable national teach-in, where
- 329 economists, corporate executives, labor leaders and other
- interest-group advocates got a chance to pitch their favorite
- nostrums to the President-elect. It provided the public with an
- exhaustive review of the tough choices on taxes and spending
- that face Clinton and the country. And it also allowed Clinton
- to present himself in a flattering light: attentive, whip-smart
- and lip-bitingly empathetic; the reading glasses perched
- soberly at the end of his bulbous nose lent a touch of
- presidential gravitas to his boyish looks.
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- A key subplot of the summit was played out mostly
- offstage, where Clinton and his aides began to worry about the
- high cost of the myriad promises that got them elected. In tense
- sessions before and after the conference, Clinton and his top
- advisers fretted that his campaign pledge to cut the deficit in
- half within four years -- while cutting middle-class taxes and
- spending more on everything from highways to veterans' benefits
- -- now looks a lot tougher to meet than they expected. Failure
- to fulfill it could prove as politically damaging to Clinton as
- was President Bush's "no new taxes" vow.
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- Clinton's economic advisers showed him charts
- demonstrating that the deficit in 1996, without any changes,
- will be more than $100 billion higher than they -- and Bush --
- had estimated. Clinton's aides blame the Republican incumbent
- for underplaying future costs for defense and the thrift
- bailout, but they also admit cooking their own numbers. New
- taxes on foreign firms, for example, are now expected to yield
- only one-fifth of the $15 billion a year that Clinton promised.
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- Clinton has scheduled private briefings this week to
- consider some of the tough choices that he gave short shrift
- during the economic summit: a hike in the gasoline tax, a new
- national sales tax and a tax on employer-provided medical
- insurance -- each of which could be rebated to lower- and
- middle-income taxpayers. Another option: "redefine" Clinton's
- pledge by vowing to eliminate the deficit by the end of his
- second term.
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